Rabu, 28 April 2010

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Earthquakes: Models, Statistics, Testable Forecasts (Wiley Works), by Yan Y. Kagan

This book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation.

The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated.

  • Published on: 2013-12-18
  • Released on: 2013-12-18
  • Format: Kindle eBook

From the Back Cover

The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation.

The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated.

About the Author

Yan Kagan grew up and was educated in Moscow, Russia. In 1974 he came to UCLA, and working with Leon Knopoff, David Jackson, Peter Bird, and Frederick Schoenberg applied his mathematical/statistical model to seismicity analysis. Since 1999 these results have been used to produce daily earthquake forecasts for several seismically active regions and currently for the whole Earth. The performance and predictive skill of these forecasts is now being tested by several research groups.

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Selasa, 27 April 2010

[P372.Ebook] Free Ebook Emotional Bullshit: The Hidden Plague That Is Threatening to Destroy Your Relationships-And How to Stop It [EMOTIONAL BULLSHIT]From Jere

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Emotional Bullshit: The Hidden Plague That Is Threatening to Destroy Your Relationships-And How to Stop It [EMOTIONAL BULLSHIT]From Jere

  • Sales Rank: #2220174 in Books
  • Published on: 2009-01-31
  • Binding: Paperback

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Kamis, 15 April 2010

[X436.Ebook] PDF Download Revolt In The Desert, by Thomas C. Barger

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Revolt In The Desert, by Thomas C. Barger

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Revolt In The Desert, by Thomas C. Barger

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Revolt In The Desert, by Thomas C. Barger

After many years of warfare King Abdul Aziz ibn Saud had conquered most of the Arabian peninsula, in no small part due to the discipline and ferocity of the Ikhwan, Fanatical Bedouins and devout Wahhabis, they were absolutely loyal to the King, even against their own tribes.

They were Ibn Saud's shock troops during multiple campaigns against his enemies, but by 1927 when Arabia was subdued the Ikhwan didn't want to stop fighting and forgo the spoils of war. Against the King's orders they attacked into Jordan and Iraq and the revolt began.

No European ever knew more about the Bedouin than did Colonel H.R.P. Dickson. In 1948 while visiting Dickson at his home in Kuwait, Tom Barger inquired about the Battle of Sibila and the Colonel responded with a full account of the Ikhwan revolt that is the basis of this article which was originally written in 1948.

It is a story of blind ignorance, hubris, duplicity and tragedy. The outcome was all but inevitable, however the reader can't help but to speculate about the course of events had the Ikhwan prevailed.

This is an article, 6400 words with four illustrations, approximately 25 pages in length.

  • Sales Rank: #445673 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2011-10-10
  • Released on: 2011-10-10
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Glimpse into life of the Arabs in the 1930's
By gt surber
Review – Revolt in the Desert An Account of the Ikhwan Revolt

This is two articles in one. First we get an exciting account of the Ikhwan Revolt 1927 - 30 including the Battle of Sibila. This is well told in the concise manner of military men. This is the story of a revolt of the Ikhwan Tribe against Abdul Aziz ibn Saud. The story is interesting and obscure. The description of the battles are revealing of war in the desert.

The real interest in the is the second article. This is the story of Thomas C. Barger's early years in Saudi Arabia. He went there in 1937, shortly after the purchase of oil search rights was purchased, and stayed for at least 3 years, as I understand the story. We hear about his quick marriage just before he left the US. Then we get first hand glimpses of the Arabs at that time. Included is a fascinating account of the Arab Coffee Ceremony. This is more intricate and full of nuances and messages than the English Tea Ceremony. For instance, if you are served a full cup of coffee, it means your welcome is over and it is time for you to leave. There are personal meetings with several of the Royal Family of Saud. There are stories of travel over the best roads at the time, often overrun with sand. There are stories of traveling to distant watering holes.

For those interested in the history of the Third Saud State (Saudi Arabia) this is fascinating stuff. If not interested, forget it.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
History is such an important feature of our lives, ...
By Len Mison
History is such an important feature of our lives, which I feel helps us to improve our well being, if employed honestly. this book certainly open up new view of the middle east of those times.!!!!!

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Not the T.E. Lawrence version.
By Amazon Customer
Careful: This is not the version written by T.E. Lawrence. He's not even mentioned.

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Senin, 12 April 2010

[F324.Ebook] Free PDF Making a Difference: Behavioral Intervention for Autism, by Catherine Maurice, Gina Green, Richard Foxx

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Making a Difference: Behavioral Intervention for Autism, by Catherine Maurice, Gina Green, Richard Foxx

...drawing from solid reserach, specific experiences the researchers, parents, & practitioners who contributed to that book explained the principles of behavior analysis & applicatoin to autism intervention...

  • Sales Rank: #735267 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Pro ed
  • Published on: 2001-05
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 11.75" h x 8.50" w x .50" l, 1.45 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 221 pages
Features
  • Making a Difference: Behavioral Intervention for Autism [Paperback]

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Make a difference with Making a Difference!
By Daydreamer
Excellent for those who love children and want to make a positive difference in their lives! The quality of this book puts it in the category of professional. Not light reading. This book goes beyond theory, to practice. Helpful for people working with those on the spectrum.

28 of 29 people found the following review helpful.
Advocates responsible and effective treatment
By Bobby Newman
Making a Difference is the latest in the very powerful series of books on the autistic-spectrum disorders spearheaded by Catherine Maurice. As before, this family of disorders is addressed straight-on. The need for empircally-validated treatments is explained and real-life instruction is provided. The chapter on speech is as good as I've seen.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Not for a Non verbal child
By lizzyloo
It's an excellent book but is not for a non verbal child. There is definitely a lack of training exercises for non verbal children.

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Jumat, 09 April 2010

[I974.Ebook] Free Ebook Solo: Life With an Electric Car, by Noel Perrin

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Solo: Life With an Electric Car, by Noel Perrin

In the spring of 1991, Noel Perrin flew from Vermont to California to pick up his newly outfitted electric car, a former gas-guzzling Ford. It would not be easy, but Perrin planned to drive Solo--as the car was soon dubbed--home, a 3,100-mile drive. Here is the picturesque story of the trip--from Solo's struggle with gravity at Donner Pass to an encounter with a man with four electric cars in Rotterdam, New York.

  • Sales Rank: #3347634 in Books
  • Published on: 1992-10
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.50" h x 5.50" w x .75" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 191 pages

From Publishers Weekly
Challenged by a student in his environmental studies class at Dartmouth to do something rather than just talk about lowering pollution levels, Perrin went to Santa Rosa, Calif, and bought an electric car. The vehicle had the drawbacks common to many EVs: powered by a combination of batteries and solar panels on the roof and hood, it had to be recharged frequently (but could use any household outlet); its range was only 40-65 miles, depending on the flatness of the teain; and its top speed was 65 mph, although it used less electrity at lower velocities. Perrin (Fist Person Rural) hoped to drive the car from Santa Rosa to his Vermont home, but the Rockies proved an unsuperable obstacle; he had to have it towed to Illinois. Reading and visits to auto museums taught him that at the turn of the century electric cars vastly outnumbered those with internal combustion engines, a ratio he considers almost certain to return as agitation grows for non-polluting vehicles. (All the major manufacturers in the U.S., Japan and Europe, Perrin notes, will soon be marketing EVs.) A helpful epilogue gives names and addresses of EV manufacturers, dealers, consultants and associations.
Copyright 1992 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From the Back Cover
In the spring of 1991, Noel Perrin flew from Vermont to California to pick up his new electric car. He planned to bring it home over the Sierras and the Rockies, a 3100-mile drive. It would not be easy. An electric car like his can go about 50 miles; then you have to stop for six to eight hours and recharge. When he got back to Vermont, he put the car into daily service as a commuter vehicle - thus driving to and from his job at Dartmouth College without causing any pollution. This book tells the story of both the trip and the commuting. From the time Perrin gets taken to a flying saucer factory in Davis, California, to the time he meets a man with four electric cars in Rotterdam, New York, here are his adventures on the road. Eventually he did get home, though not quite in the way he expected. The car, by now named Solo, turns to commuting and is a complete success. Among other things, it wins its owner one of the rare reserved parking places at Dartmouth. "There's going to be a boom in electric cars around here", predicts a cynical colleague. "People will do anything for a parking place". Interwoven with Solo's story is the larger story of electric cars in America. Scarce now, they have a distinguished past and a bright future. Ninety years ago they were the favorite vehicle of city aristocrats. In 1903, for example, the six wealthy Guggenheim brothers in New York owned nine electric cars - and employed chauffeurs. The first 50 women drivers, without exception, drove electrics. Tiffany's bought electric delivery trucks. President Woodrow Wilson took drives from the White House in his electric car, with a Secret Service agent chugging along behind in a gasoline vehicle. Henry Fordowned three. No wonder. Electric cars were cleaner, quieter, and more reliable than early gasoline cars. After a 70-year hiatus, electrics are now making a major comeback. Aristocrats - including Prince Philip of England - are again driving them. General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler are all gearing up to produce them. So is every car company in Japan. In Europe, Fiat and Peugot are currently selling electrics - and a dozen other companies are racing to join them. Some of these cars will be hybrids, with a virtually unlimited range. Others will be pure electrics. But most will have improved batteries that provide a range of 100 or even 200 miles. There's a good chance you will be driving an electric car, two or five or at most ten years from now. What's it going to be like? This lively book will tell you.

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9 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
Noel planted a seed and left us the manual, who will make it grow?
By Reuben Gathright
I picked up this book from the public library shelves in 1993 on my way home from high school. Fourteen years later, I find myself making the final preparations to building my own electric vehicle. In an era of $3.30 a gallon for gasoline, electric vehicles have finally become cost effective as commuter vehicles. If you have ever been curious about EV's and how they behave in the real world, Solo is a book for you. My review of this book is not a traditional epinions review, I have made an effort to offer some counter points and give you the reader a 2007 perspective on the building and use of electric vehicles (EV's).

The book is about Noel's efforts to acquire and use an electric vehicle in the early 90's, years before the big three automakers even thought of mass producing their own. Since Noel could not buy a commercially manufactured EV he had to purchase a conversion. Conversions come in extensive varieties, from pure solar vehicles to hybrids (combination of a gasoline engine and an electric motor).1 While, I feel Noel's obsession with the environmental impact of EV's a tad obsessive, he does make several other good points towards the ownership of such a vehicle. The story weaves around the attempt to drive the car, Solo, from California to his home in Vermont. Sprinkled throughout, Noel discusses his own efforts to charge the car using solar energy and provides a brief history of these vehicles in the process.

As you read the book you will discover that Noel was an accomplished chatter box. He managed to hitch several rides from strangers who were interested in his car. His social gift also helped him convince business owners to let him charge his EV. The charging of the car required several kilowatts of electricity. Even though he was prepared to pay, the novelty of the car and Noel's charm seemed to give him several free charges. Predictably, gas station owners gave him the most trouble. He had to pay outrageous rates for the electricity to charge his car and once he was expelled from a gas station by the owner! Noel, by the end of his journey across America, was carrying 100ft of power cord so that he could charge his EV. He found himself throwing cord from second floor hotel rooms, plugging into bedside lamps and even using a nail to suspend his power cord on the side of a wooden building!

In Louisiana, we have hot weather all the time, up north Solo and Noel did not. Solo ran into range problems in colder weather. Noel describes his hassles with working around cold weather EV driving like a seasoned veteran. I have yet to read another candid discussion about EV's in cold climates. Future Vermont EV owners, should take notice and read the book!

The book does a great job of discussing the weakest point of electric vehicles today, hills and mountains. Noel's original intention was driving the car from California back to Vermont, but this dream was cut short when he tried to drive the car over Donner Pass, California. The main reason is the 1,000lbs, or more, of batteries the vehicles must carry to provide a suitable range for city driving. Another simple reason is the amount of current required for uphill climbs, 300Amps, compared to 100Amps for driving on flat roads. Lead based batteries tend to lose their rated capacity faster when discharged under high amperage load. As a result, while your ammeter says you are discharging 300Amps climbing a hill, the battery is losing 325Amps. The excess capacity is discharged as thermal energy and through a chemical process called sulfication. The foothills of Donner Pass made Solo travel approximately 25 miles, compared to the estimated 62 mile range the car got in the city. While my explanation is plain, a government report on the testing of the electric S-10 is a great resource to see how hills and battery heating affect the range of EV travel.2.

The most interesting political feature of the book is the support Noel received from the American automotive industry. On the back cover of the book, Sean McNamara wrote a glowing review of the book, he is a member of the Advanced Engineering Staff Electric Vehicles for General Motors. Within the book, Noel ran into a man named Robert D. King. Bob, as he prefers to be called, built his first EV in 1972. He then built several other EV's with features like regenerative braking and weight reduction to allow the EV to climb Mount Washington in the summer of 1978. So what did he do for a living? Bob turned out to be an electrical engineer for General Electric. He was working on an electric car concept for the Ford Motor Company. Leslie Nielsen gave the book a glowing review as well: "Solo by Noel Perrin is a delightful book. It is filled with information, even for those who have already experienced life with an electric car, most enjoyable! The alternative of a future without electric cars is a sorry prospect indeed. Like its star, Solo, the book is quietly moving. Oops!

Summary
In my opinion, Solo Life With An Electric Car is still the book to have for the EV thinking car builder. The core focus of the book, charging and driving, is still the focus of every EV owner. We now have low cost sealed lead acid batteries, but these batteries still charge just as slow as they did when Noel was burning kilowatts. The only worthwhile technology that has been developed since Solo, is the PowerFilm solar panel. Hydrogen Fuel Cells require $1,000 of platinum per KWH and require even more energy to refine the materials during production. Battery charging is still in the dark ages, only one manufacturer, Xantrex is making battery chargers that monitor the temperaturate as well as voltage.

Compounding the efforts to bring EV's mainstream are profiteers. They develop technologies to make EV's better but charge over-inflated prices for their products. For example, batteries. West-Marine has a line of AGM's that would fit perfectly in a converted EV. The batteries retail for (...), yet their wholesale cost is just (...). Anyone can buy the batteries if they sign up for an account at a marine wholesale distributor, but no one knows this. I have found other examples, but that is not the point, we must expose these people as fraud's by producing our own solutions into the public domain.

I gave the book five stars because the subject of EV ownership is not covered in print by anyone else, yet. As a work of non-fiction, I found the book very educational and filled with yankee wit that is sometimes more valuable than a room full of engineers.

(...)

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Read it. You will be glad you did.
By Benjamin N.
Just buy a copy. So worth reading. If you love the environment, invention, travel, or philosophy, you want to read this. The author does a great job with so many interesting details, so many good bits of storytelling and delves into the lives of the people he meets on the way. It's personal, it explores, it enlightens.

Yes, the book is about a trip in an electric car, but it's really about people, motivation, and a story told well.

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Jumat, 02 April 2010

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Nature's Flyers: Birds, Insects, and the Biomechanics of Flight

Nature's Flyers: Birds, Insects, and the Biomechanics of Flight by Alexander,...

  • Binding: Paperback

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